Forex trading US market closed EURUSD trading

FX markets were unimpressive in the Asian session. With the US out on holiday, today's trading session is expect to also be uneventful. Coming off last week, weaker US data, China's reserve requirement increase, rumors of Chancellor Merkel's resignation, unsatisfactory answered questions surrounding Greece and JP Morgan's better earnings, but cautiously outlook had traders understandably nervous. The EURUSD finally found a temporary bottom around 1.4335, while the USDJPY ranged between 90.60 and 91.30. Treasury yields dropped along the curve, with the 2y down to 0.86%. Perhaps the highlight of Asian trading was the noticeable response to Evans-Pritchard piece in the Telegraph, which paused the EURUSD lower. The article suggested that the ECB was preparing legal grounds and framework for the secession from the monetary union. The article lacked any hard evidence but relied mainly on the author's strong reputation. However, given the stress Greece is under, policy members must be contemplating "what if " scenarios…I know we are. In New Zealand, December residential house price index disappointed at m/m -0.9% vs. 0.2% prior. Markets will now be watching CPI on Wednesday and weak import and food price data have increase the possibly of a downward surprise. The RBNZ is expected a 0.2% q/q fall, so anything lower will reinforce the view that rates will stay on hold till mid 2010. The NZDUSD failed to break 0.7450 resistance last week and further removal of yield support will put addition pressure on the kiwi. Other key data points this week will be from China, with Retail sales, GDP and IP are all expected to remain elevated. While the stronger data will be good from the global economic cycle, too much growth and inflation might make Chinese policy makers nervous, prompting an acceleration of their tightening cycle. As we have seen last week, it would be highly negative for risk collated trades (especially commodity currencies).

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Forex trading- Euro loosing ground vs pound Dollar strengthens

€ The euro depreciated vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested bids around the US$ 1.4365 level and was capped around the $1.4510 level.  The common currency was pressured overnight on rumours that German Chancellor Merkel may resign following a media report that she was losing the support of her coalition partners.  Merkel dismissed this talk as "absurd" and pledged to move forward with her pledge to reduce taxes.  Data released in the eurozone saw the November trade surplus print at €4.8 billion, down from €6.6 billion in October, while EMU-16 consumer price inflation rose 0.3% m/m and 0.9% y/y.  The common currency has also been pressured this week following ongoing concerns that Greece's fiscal position may require drastic intervention from the European Union.  European Central Bank President spoke after the ECB's decision to keep rates unchanged yesterday and provided a mixed assessment of the eurozone economy.  Trichet also talked up the U.S. dollar, an ongoing dialog he has had with the market that is designed to limit the amount of upside potential for euro appreciation.  In U.S. news, data released today saw December consumer price inflation up a smaller-than-expected +0.1% m/m and 2.8% y/y at the headline level and 0.1% m/m and 1.8% y/y at the core level.  Also, the January Empire State manufacturing index improved to 15.92 from a revised prior reading of 4.50.  Additionally, December industrial production printed at 0.6% and capacity utilization improved to 72.8%.  Finally, the mid-January University of Michigan consumer sentiment index receded to 72.8 from the prior reading of 72.5.   Data to be released on Tuesday include net long-term TIC flows and the NAHB housing market index.  Most Federal Reserve officials – but not all – have talked up the U.S. economy's recent strengthening and Fed officials are said to be reviewing ways to drain upwards [...]

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S&P 500 Day Trading Course Gap For Jan 15, 2010 Learn How to Trade

With a very slow open today prices began trading at 1140.5, down 1.5 points from Wednesday's 1142.00 close. The light volume and slow moves made for a consolidated day trading to a low of 1139.75 and a high of 1147.00. Prices traded 7.25 point range and closed yesterday's gap of 1142.00, then closed the day at 1144.75 up 2.75 points from yesterday's close.

Prices appear to be floating towards our highs, while struggling to move into resistance. This gives the appearance of an uncertain bullish market, where the slightest wrong move may bring doom. The closer prices move towards a high the more they seem to retest, and retest before moving on. One thing is certain, that without an increase in volume by either party a definite move in any direction in uncertain.

Friday's trading looks to be approaching the 1148 highs, with some good commitment we could see prices move into the 1155 or even 1165 levels. To the low side prices could see a retest of the 1140 area of support, then 1135 and an extreme low back in the 1129.50 level.

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