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Friday, September 5, 2008

Non farm payroll and the economy

Big news 8:30 AM EST lets see if the
Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment continued its downtrend in July with U.S. employers shaving 51,000 jobs, marking the first time since May 2002 that the economy lost jobs for seven consecutive months. The Labor Department also reported last month that the U.S. unemployment rate rose to 5.7 percent—its highest level in more than four years—erasing all job gains made over the last year. Revisions to May and June's payrolls showed a total of 26,000 fewer jobs were lost than previously expected, bringing the number of jobs lost so far in 2008 to 463,000.

On the inflation front, the Commerce Department reported last week that the GDP price index was revised to an annualized 1.2 percent—up from the initial estimate of 1.1 percent—virtually eliminating any claims of recession for spring. The sharp easing in overall price index was technical in nature, caused by a spike in nominal imports cutting into nominal GDP growth. In contrast, the inflation for final sales of domestic purchases was revised up to a strong 4.3 percent, compared to the initial estimate of 4.2 percent.

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