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Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Forex trading - EURUSD dollar strenght live trading room Jan 19

The USD has made gains against its major counterparts today as risk appetite was burdened by poor economic news and a dovish BoC statement. The headline event of the European morning was UK CPI which surged an alarming 0.6% MoM, 2.9% YoY in December; up from last month's 0.3% MoM, 1.9% YoY rise. Although potentially suggesting higher borrowing costs may have to be implemented to ward off an overshoot in inflation, the spike is in line with the BoE's forecasts in the Quarterly Inflation Report last November; and according to the path predicted in that scenario, inflation is expected to fall back towards target in the coming months. GBPUSD, which has rebounded strongly from its 1.5833 lows on 30th Dec, surged to 1.6459 after the release, but the rally failed to gather much momentum and the pair subsequently succumbed to the bout of USD strength, touching a low of 1.6313 before recovering somewhat to 1.6370 levels. The other major release of the morning session was Germany's ZEW survey, which showed investor sentiment fell more than expected in January to 47.4 (49.5 expected, 50.4 prior), causing EURUSD to slump below its 200 day moving average (around 1.4293), touching lows of 1.4262. So far, the major support of 1.4250 remains intact, but a closing break below there would open up further downside to 1.4000 levels. [caption id="attachment_339" align="alignleft" width="202" caption="Forex trading jan 19 weekly bear flag"][/caption] Looking for a move to 1.38 the 1.35 area with in the month. During the afternoon session, the markets awaited the latest BoC rate meeting, and as expec [...]

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